End of the greenhouse panic?

A sunspot captured in visible light

It may be time to count our “green­house” blessings…or move to a warmer cli­mate. if sci­ence real­ly does guide the Gillard gov­ern­ment on emis­sions abate­ment and jus­ti­fy the costs of their pro­posed tax, new reports sug­gest the need to pause and re-assess.

Reports all over the web (NASA, Nation­al Geo­graph­ic, Space.com) point to an Amer­i­can Astro­nom­i­cal Soci­ety announce­ment of three inde­pen­dent stud­ies that pre­dict dra­mat­i­cal­ly reduced solar activ­i­ty over the next solar cycle (oth­er­wise due to peak around 2025). 
As the cur­rent sunspot cycle, Cycle 24, begins to ramp up toward max­i­mum, inde­pen­dent stud­ies of the solar inte­ri­or, vis­i­ble sur­face, and the coro­na indi­cate that the next 11-year solar sunspot cycle, Cycle 25, will be great­ly reduced or may not hap­pen at all.” Quot­ed on Watts Up With That?

The pre-indus­tri­al era’s cold­est peri­od (instru­ment­ed) was asso­ci­at­ed with a 70-year series of such weak solar cycles from 1645 to 1715. A cen­tu­ry lat­er, Europe’s “year with­out a sum­mer” (1816) coin­cid­ed with a less pro­longed “grand miniumum”. 

The warmists say that the increase in atmos­pher­ic CO2 since then, when com­bined with so-far-undemon­strat­ed pos­i­tive feed­back mech­a­nisms in the cli­mate sys­tem, will be respon­si­ble for a “green­house” warm­ing of the cli­mate by 3° to 4° over the next cen­tu­ry. The AAS pro­jec­tions can only make us hope they’re right.

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