Monthly Archives: December 2008

Professors prosecute protectionism

Two of the best aca­d­e­mic ana­lysts of the global trade sys­tem, Simon Evenett and Richard Bald­win, have rushed out an ‘e-book’ enti­tled “What world lead­ers must do to halt the spread of pro­tec­tion­ism”, con­tain­ing brief pre­scrip­tions by six­teen pro­fes­sors and an indus­tri­al­ist. A pow­er­ful line-up. “Free” (as in beer). Deserves your atten­tion and reflection.

A better way to negotiate on agriculture

Next week, at the Insti­tute for Inter­na­tional Trade in Ade­laide, Andrew Stoler (Insti­tute Direc­tor, for­mer Deputy Director-General of WTO) and I are pre­sent­ing a con­fer­ence in our project on future frame­works for WTO agri­cul­ture agreements.

In addi­tion to our own research (some linked here) we’ve com­mis­sioned the help of lead­ing agri­cul­ture and trade pol­icy research cen­ters in Brazil, China, India and Indone­sia to help us exam­ine the polit­i­cal econ­omy of the WTO agri­cul­ture nego­ti­a­tions. We’ve also ben­e­fited from com­ments from sev­eral of the world’s lead­ing ana­lysts of agri­cul­tural trade poli­cies; sum­ma­rized in our ‘Work in Progress’ paper pro­duced for the conference.

We are espe­cially inter­ested in test­ing an hypoth­e­sis first raised by the War­wick Com­mis­sion about the value of so-called crit­i­cal mass agree­ments as an adjunct to—or even as one of sev­eral sub­sti­tutes for—the WTO’s sin­gle under­tak­ing.

Below: an extract from our Work In Progress report that asks whether recent dis­cov­er­ies about the rapid growth of intra-industry trade in food prod­ucts sug­gests that CM agree­ments for food might be a good bet as a road to future market-opening agreements.

Anti-NAFTA Congressman for U.S. Trade Rep?

An expe­ri­enced Mem­ber of the Ways and Means trade sub­com­mit­tee, another Cal­i­forn­ian lawyer (a pro­fes­sion that has not dis­tin­guished itself in the Trade Representative’s office, except by a take-no-prisoners advo­cacy), Xavier Becerra sounds pretty much what Obama promised dur­ing his campaign:

Becerra did orig­i­nally sup­port NAFTA, but he has apol­o­gized for this and worked to oppose CAFTA, giv­ing Bush fast-track author­ity for trade agree­ments, and grant­ing China MFN…[He] has an 87% life­time rat­ing from the AFL-CIO. It’s not an A, but it’s still pretty good.”  extract from: Daily Kos

Good’ of course is some­thing that ‘Daily Kos’ and I will never agree on. I hope that this story is not true, but I fear oth­er­wise because Obama advo­cated these same views dur­ing the cam­paign. Let’s still hope that those peo­ple who argued Obama’s tired old anti-trade stump rhetoric would change once he was in office are right. But it doesn’t look that way right now.

Thanks to Ben Muse for this link.

Suppose the SWFs got cold feet?

‘Right now we don’t have the courage to invest in finan­cial insti­tu­tions because we don’t know what prob­lems we will put our­selves into,’ Lou Jiwei [Chair­man of China Invest­ment Corp] said on Wednes­day. ‘My con­fi­dence should come from gov­ern­ment poli­cies. But if they are chang­ing every week, how can you expect that to make me con­fi­dent?”  extract from: Finan­cial Times