Acting on a precaution

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace has issued a detailed assessment of the case for war in Iraq. One of its “observations(link to report in Financial Times)”: about decision-making by the Bush administration seems to have much broader relevance. bq. The report says the White House approach to the war was based on what it called “worse case reasoning”, assuming that what intelligence agencies did not know was worse than what they did know. “Worst-case planning is valid . . . [But] acting on worst-case assumptions is an entirely different matter.”

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