Tag Archives: victoria

Evidence on State hospital administration

Adam Cress­well in The Aus. offers us the data instead of spin. The impres­sion of ‘excel­lence’ in Vic­to­ria fades in the light of the evi­dence.

…[H]ealth experts say offi­cial com­par­isons show no evi­dence that Victoria’s sys­tem is any bet­ter: whether cheap­er or, the more impor­tant ques­tion, whether patients emerge health­i­er on the oth­er side” Extract from Diag­no­sis: state of medi­oc­rity | The Aus­tralian

Anoth­er major pub­lic pol­i­cy decision—the fight over State and Fed­er­al con­trol of health funding—being spun, in pub­lic and in the Par­lia­ment at least, by hunch­es and impres­sions.

Motor vehicle subsidies wasted on Ford

Carr and Rudd sign the IOU

Ford Aus­tralia made just over a quar­ter (60,000) of all the cars made in Aus­tralia last year and less than one-fifth of all the new cars+light trucks reg­is­tered in Aus­tralia in 2009 (a total of 302,400: see the ABS Motor Vehi­cle Cen­sus)

Ford is not going to be a prof­it cen­ter for its glob­al par­ent any time soon.

‘As soon as choic­es have to be made, Ford is the next Mit­subishi,’ said John Wormald, prin­ci­pal of inter­na­tion­al con­sul­tant Autopo­lis, refer­ring to the Japan­ese company’s deci­sion to shut down its Ade­laide fac­to­ry two years ago.

Mr Wormald, who is in Aus­tralia to advise the Vic­to­ri­an gov­ern­ment, said the replace­ment for the Fal­con, due in about five years, could be import­ed cheap­ly and the car­mak­er did not need its Mel­bourne plant. ‘Ford isn’t short of assem­bly capac­i­ty in oth­er places,’ he said. ‘Where’s the plan to inte­grate Aus­tralia?’” Extract from Ford will be next car­mak­er to quit Aus­tralia | The Aus­tralian

Wormald con­firmed what every­one except Kevin Rudd and Kim Carr has under­stood for decades about the Aus­tralian car indus­try. Refer­ring to the mas­sive $6 bil­lion bribes extend­ed by the Rudd gov­ern­ment (includ­ing $13 mil­lion to prop up Ford’s Gee­long fac­to­ry), he said

Sub­si­dies were doomed to fail because the indus­try lacked a vision for the future and Ford was most vul­ner­a­ble because it was iso­lat­ed from its parent’s glob­al oper­a­tions.

Century trends in Victorian temperatures

Mean maximum temperatures, January, rural Victoria

There are a dozen or so rur­al Vic­to­ri­an weath­er sta­tions, of the 255 list­ed as report­ing max­i­mum tem­per­a­ture data to the Aus­tralian Bureau of Mete­o­rol­o­gy, that have records stretch­ing back to years before 1900. I have found them by skim­ming through the list­ings on this page at the BOM web­site. It has a help­ful graph­ic that dynam­i­cal­ly dis­plays the record length.

I thought it might be inter­est­ing to see the trend of max­i­mum tem­per­a­tures in these rur­al loca­tions. The graph­ic (click the thumb­nail) shows that in eight of these twelve sites, includ­ing one NSW site—Deniliquin, almost on the Vic­to­ri­an border—the tem­per­a­ture trend is neg­a­tive or flat. The trend esti­mate is a sim­ple, lin­ear least-squares trend over the longest peri­od avail­able in each record with 1-sig­ma bands as indi­cat­ed. The idea for this exper­i­ment came from a post at the Car­bon-Sense Coali­tion web­site.

Temperatures for June in Victoria

Temperature anomalies for June, 1950 - 2009

June 2009 was not as warm as June 2008, but still 0.8° C above the aver­age for 1961–1990, accord­ing to the Aus­tralian Bureau of Mete­o­rol­o­gy. There have been ten hot­ter Junes since 1950.

Temperatures for May in Victoria

Temperature anomalies in Victoria, May

Tem­per­a­tures in May 2009 were 0.52° C above the his­tor­i­cal aver­age.

58 years of Victorian temperatures

Distribution of Victorian Temperature Anomalies (1950 - 2008)

A small exper­i­ment with the Bureau of Met’s record of mean tem­per­a­ture anom­alies for Vic­to­ria using Hadley Wickham’s ‘ggplot’ library for R. There are 696 obser­va­tions of month­ly means between 1950 and 2008. The Bureau pro­vides ‘anom­alies’ from the month­ly 1961–1990 means. How are these anom­alies dis­trib­uted? Are they skewed toward the upper ‘tail’ of the dis­tri­b­u­tion, point­ing to an alarm­ing degree of warm­ing in Vic­to­ria?

Well, there’s a smidge greater length in the upper tail. But oth­er­wise, looks like a fac­to­ry-stan­dard nor­mal dis­tri­b­u­tion to me.

Feb 09 Temperature in Victoria

Temperature anomalies Victoria February 2009

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p>About 1 degree above the aver­age 1960–1991 Feb­ru­ary tem­per­a­ture, but only the fourth hottest Feb­ru­ary this decade (despite the cru­el record tem­per­a­tures of ‘<a href=“http://www.petergallagher.com.au/index.php/site/article/the-last-time-it-reached-115/” title=“Peter Gal­lagher | The last time it reached 115