The mildness of global warming

I don’t doubt any more than you do that the aver­age atmos­pheric tem­per­a­ture has jumped around a lot but over­all has risen a few tenths of a degree in the past cen­tury or so. But when you see the change in con­text there’s just no basis for alarm, or for Aus­tralia to endorse the IPCC’s implau­si­ble “runaway-feedback” the­ory with the world’s largest carbon-dioxide tax.

Three decades of satel­lite mea­sure­ments show either zero or a 0.11 degree (cel­sius) increase over the aver­age of the past thirty years. This is, of course, less than NASA claims (0.58 C° increase over the whole of the 20th cen­tury) because tem­per­a­tures have not risen at all in the past decade or so. But whichever num­ber you choose, the warm­ing that has taken place is mild and uncon­cern­ing. It also cre­ates rea­son­able doubt about the alleged cul­prit — CO2 con­cen­tra­tion in the atmos­phere — because that num­ber has been monot­o­n­i­cally increas­ing for the past fifty years

Now the New Sci­en­tist — a sci­ence mag given to breath­less alarmism — has at last pub­lished a graph that shows what it believes to be the “hottest year” of the twen­ti­eth cen­tury in context.

Graphic from the New Scientist

Earth blows hot and cold

Hmm… that teeny lit­tle tail (exag­ger­ated by the scal­ing of the graphic) is the cur­rent “alarm­ing” state of the cli­mate? What’s all the fuss?

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