I think, like G Sheridan, it’s a muddle of rival views not really sorted out. But, he likes the main ideas. I’m not so keen.
A twitter test reveals my biggest doubt about it’s main proposition.
First the proposition:
“China will also be the strongest Asian military power, by a considerable margin. Its military modernisation will be increasingly characterised by the development of power projection capabilities. A major power of China’s stature can be expected to develop a globally significant military capability befitting its size. But the pace, scope and structure of China’s military modernisation have the potential to give its neighbours cause for concern if not carefully explained, and if China does not reach out to others to build confidence regarding its military plans.
China has begun to do this in recent years, but needs to do more. If it does not, there is likely to be a question in the minds of regional states about the long-term strategic purpose of its force development plans, particularly as the modernisation appears potentially to be beyond the scope of what would be required for a conflict over Taiwan.” Paragraphs 4.26 & 4.27 of the White Paper
Here’s the twitter-translation; the main point of a 1.8 megabyte paper in about 140 bytes.
We should spend 60 billion dollars we don’t yet have on short-lived weapons because we’re worried China has not explained itself that well.
Nah! I don’t get it.